Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!Let's go back to the question at the beginning of this article. When the performance of the market and the Growth Enterprise Market is divided, either the market will go up with the Growth Enterprise Market; Either the growth enterprise market dragged the market back to the box structure. Now the answer should be clear!
Therefore, no matter from the news or funds, the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad in the next period, especially during the two meetings!In Saturday's article and this morning's [A-share news], Jun Ge clearly pointed out that the main force to make A-shares last Friday was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, and it was the national team hidden behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF! The reason why the national team chose to enter the arena last Friday is that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has great benefits; The second is to maintain stability and prevent the A-share market from falling sharply during the meeting.Combined with the two sets of inflation data in November, we can almost get a conclusion:
During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!After the news about the meeting came out, although A shares have closed, according to Jun Ge's observation, the external market has begun to boil!Seeing the momentum of last Friday, many friends will think that the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad this Monday. However, what everyone didn't expect was that today's market not only didn't continue to be strong, but even a round of rapid diving appeared in the afternoon, which surprised everyone into a cold sweat. The growth enterprise market refers to a worse situation. Last Friday, it finally broke through the pressure level of the 20-day line, and today it fell back. This situation of breaking through the key pressure level and falling back quickly is usually called a false breakthrough, which is a main form of main force attracting more; On the contrary, it is the usual skill of the main force to wash the dishes in a broken position, fall through the key support level and then collect them quickly.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13